Conditional Probability Worksheet Page 2

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11. A red and a blue die are rolled. Given that there is at least one six, what is the probability
that the red die is showing six?
6
11
12. Ten cards lie face down on a table. They contain the digits 0, 1, 2, . . . , 9. Two cards are
chosen at random from the table. Find the probability that
(a) the sum of the numbers is greater than 9, given that the first number is 3,
1
3
(b) the second number is 2, given than the sum of the two numbers is greater than 7,
4
63
(c) the first number is 4, given that the difference between the two numbers is 4.
1
6
13. Two tetrahedral die are thrown; one is red and the other blue. The number on which each
lands is noted, the faces being marked 1,2,3 and 4. Find the probability that
(a) the sum of the numbers on which the dice land is 6, given that the red die lands on
an odd number,
1
8
(b) the blue die lands on a 2 or a 3, given that the red die lands on a 2.
1
2
14. Two cards are drawn successively from an ordinary pack of cards and kept out of the
pack. Find the probability that
(a) both cards are hearts,
1
17
(b) the first card is a heart and the second card is a spade,
13
204
(c) the second card is a diamond, given that the first card is a club.
13
51
15. 90% of Scandinavians are blue eyed, whereas only 25% of English are. In our establish-
ment, 10% of the pupils are Scandinavian, and the rest English. I bump into a blue eyed
person in the corridor: what is the probability that he is Scandinavian?
2
7
16. A bag contains 4 red balls, 3 yellow balls and 5 green balls. I take two balls from the bag,
without replacement. Given that the balls are the same colour, find the probability that
they are both green.
ry+gy
ry+gy+gr
17. A bag contains 4 red balls, 3 yellow balls and 5 green balls. I take three balls from the bag,
without replacement. Given that the balls are all the same colour, find the probability
that they are all green.
2
3
18. A bag contains r red balls, y yellow balls and g green balls. I take two balls from the bag,
without replacement. Given that the balls are different colours, find the probability that
they contain a yellow.
ry+gy
ry+gy+rg
19. In a class of 24 girls, 7 have blonde hair, 5 have red hair and the rest have black hair. I
select a committee of 5 from the class completely at random. Given that exactly two are
red heads, find the probability that my committee contains exactly one blonde.
154
323
20. A bag contains 5 white and 7 black counters. I take 12 balls from the bag with replacement.
Given that the first 3 balls were black, what is the probability my hand contains equal
numbers of black and white?
0.08725
21. Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.2, and P(A | B) = 0.1. Find
P(B | A).
1
30
22. We receive 10,000 transistors from company A, and there is a 1% failure rate on their
components. We also receive 4000 transistors from company B, which have a 1.5% failure
rate. A transistor fails: what is the probability that it came from company A?
5
8
2

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